Evaluating the Impact of Capital Budgeting Parameters on Economic Prosperity in Pakistan: A Time Series Analysis Using the ARDL Model

Authors

  • Abu Bakar Siddique Department of Business Studies, Lahore Leads University, Lahore, Punjab
  • Sardar Ahmad Department of Business Studies, Lahore Leads University, Lahore, Punjab
  • Maria Sultana Department of Management Sciences, Shifa tamer-e-Millat University, Islamabad
  • Amir Manzur wain Department of Business Studies, Lahore Leads University, Lahore, Punjab
  • Arooj Maroof Department of Business Studies, Lahore Leads University, Lahore, Punjab
  • Sidrah Ilyas Department of Business Studies, Lahore Leads University, Lahore, Punjab

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.59365/amsj.3(2).2025.140

Keywords:

Capital budgeting, Economic prosperity, ARDL model, Time series analysis, GDP, Economic variables, ADF test

Abstract

This study analyses the role of capital budgeting on economic growth in Pakistan while taking into consideration the current economic indicators apart from inflation rates, including interest rates along with foreign direct investment and exchange rates. The study will analyze 43 years of data, covering the period from 1980 to 2022, investigating vital relationships among the economic variables applying ARDL modeling for the short and long term. In the case of ADF, a stationarity state test was needed in order to increase the reliability of the outcome; hence, tests conducted on ARDL Bound confirmed that meaningful relationship existing between all these variables studied over the long-run. Its finding enhances our knowledge of capital budgeting with respect to its relevance with economic growth for Pakistan, offering very relevant implications for all policymaking strategies to investors and to all other academic research groups working towards development in all the economic sector segments.

Published

2025-04-26

How to Cite

Abu Bakar Siddique, Sardar Ahmad, Maria Sultana, Amir Manzur wain, Arooj Maroof, & Sidrah Ilyas. (2025). Evaluating the Impact of Capital Budgeting Parameters on Economic Prosperity in Pakistan: A Time Series Analysis Using the ARDL Model. Administrative and Management Sciences Journal, 3(2), 176–190. https://doi.org/10.59365/amsj.3(2).2025.140